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Colombia

Last updated: September 18, 2026 · The Brief is reviewed and improved in place; the Media Monitor and Social Media Monitor below are rebuilt every morning

The Brief

Where things stand. Colombia is five weeks into a new government and one month into recovery from a major earthquake. Abelardo de la Espriella took the oath of office in Cali on 7 August 2026, having won the 21 June runoff narrowly. Three days after the inauguration, a magnitude 7.4 earthquake struck southeast of San José del Palmar, Chocó, at 108 km depth; the national disaster agency counted 331 dead and 4,439 injured. The new government has moved fast on two fronts at once: it has dismantled the negotiated-peace architecture it inherited, and it has deepened the security and resources relationship with Washington, signing memoranda on critical minerals and civil nuclear cooperation with Secretary of State Marco Rubio in Barranquilla on 8 September. Congress, which the government does not control, is the constraint on both.

The security picture

The negotiating tables are closed. Resolutions 390 and 391 of 2026, issued 9 September, revoked the designated delegations for talks with the ELN and with the Ejército Gaitanista de Colombia; earlier decisions had already terminated the tables with the EMBF, the Coordinadora Nacional Ejército Bolivariano and the ACSN. On 13 September the Attorney General's office reactivated three suspended capture orders against Clan del Golfo commanders. The underlying numbers cut both ways. UNODC measured 261,000 hectares of coca at the end of 2024, up 3.5% year on year, with the Pacific region up 14% and Catatumbo up 11%; cocaine seizures rose 19% to 889,201 kg while forced manual eradication fell 54% to 9,403 hectares. Indepaz, counting independently, recorded 89 massacres and 336 victims to 11 September 2026, against 78 and 256 for all of 2025.

Politics

Congress is fragmented and the president does not command it. In the 8 March legislative elections the Pacto Histórico took the largest Senate bloc at 25 seats, ahead of Centro Democrático with 17; allocations below the top two are reported inconsistently and should be treated as contested. When Congress installed on 20 July, Honorio Henríquez of Centro Democrático won the Senate presidency 56 to 45, with Pacto Histórico votes deciding it against the incoming government's preference — an early signal that floor arithmetic, not the presidency, sets the agenda. Institutional friction is now routine: on 14 September the Supreme Court's Special Instruction Chamber opened a preliminary inquiry into the financing of Iván Cepeda's October 2025 primary campaign, after the National Electoral Council had cleared the same contributions in January. Two state bodies, two working positions, no final ruling.

Economy

Growth has accelerated while inflation has moved the wrong way. The statistics agency recorded GDP growth of 3.5% year on year in the second quarter and 2.9% for the first half; annual inflation reached 6.24% in August, against 5.10% a year earlier. Banco de la República holds its policy rate at 12.0%, in force since 1 July after a four-to-three vote to hold on 31 July, and meets again on 30 September. Unemployment was 8.1% in July. Oil output fell 2.46% year on year in July to 727,920 barrels a day and gas fell 8.36%, while exports rose 5.9% in July with fuels and extractives at 40.0% of the total. Two external pressures sit on top of that: a 12.5% US Section 301 tariff on Colombian goods ordered 23 July over forced-labour enforcement, and a current account deficit running at 3.5% of quarterly GDP, cushioned by US$4,131 million in remittances.

What to watch

The 2027 budget: Congress's joint economic committees approved the 634.9 trillion-peso total on 14 September and must approve the bill by 20 October, against an independent fiscal committee projecting a primary deficit of 4.5% of GDP, a total deficit near 10% and net debt near 67.3%. The US Presidential Determination on major drug transit countries for fiscal 2027, which had not appeared as of 14 September — last year's designated Colombia as having failed demonstrably while granting a national-interest waiver. The aerial spraying pilot authorised on 18 August: seven days, 1,000 hectares, glufosinate ammonium rather than glyphosate, with technical reports due within 60 days, and environmental licensing and prior consultation with ethnic communities still required before anything wider. Banco de la República's 30 September rate decision. And El Niño through the 2026–27 season, which the fiscal committee flags as a risk to reduced energy and gas subsidy funding.

Media Monitor

A working list of the outlets Corridor Intelligence checks on Colombia every morning, split by language and by international versus national vantage point, followed by today's cross-source snapshot of what those outlets were actually reporting.

International — English
International — Spanish
International — French
National — Colombia

Today's cross-source snapshot — September 18, 2026

President Abelardo de la Espriella formally ended Colombia's "Paz Total" policy on September 11, signing Executive Resolution 391 to close the government's last negotiating table with the ELN. The closure also covers talks with FARC dissident factions and the Comandos de Frontera process, the only dissident group that had disarmed, leaving 99 ex-combatants exposed and prompting 55 of them to sign a letter requesting protection guarantees. InSight Crime's analysis traces the policy's collapse to ceasefires Petro granted before security gains were secured, an approach under which combined armed-group membership rose from roughly 15,000 to 29,000 members during the 2022-2026 talks, and cautions that De la Espriella's now purely military strategy has its own limits, with only 13 of 53 Black Hawk helicopters currently operational.La Silla Vacía · Cambio · InSight Crime
The Trump administration kept Colombia on its list of countries that have "demonstrably failed" international drug-control commitments on September 15-16, while crediting the seven-week-old De la Espriella government rather than blaming it for the finding. Washington redirected US$52 million in counter-narcotics funding from Europe and the Middle East to Colombia, Panama, Ecuador and Peru, and left open a path to recertification if Bogotá advances coca eradication within the next year. Colombia formally joined the US-led "Shield of the Americas" security coalition on September 14, giving it access to shared military intelligence alongside 16 other member states.El Colombiano · El Espectador · Infobae
Colombia's government authorized a seven-day pilot program to spray up to 1,000 hectares of coca crops with the herbicide glufosinate ammonium by low-altitude drone. A National Narcotics Council resolution dated August 18 follows the administration's August 28 repeal of the 2015 ban that had applied to aerial glyphosate spraying. Manual eradication fell 54% between 2023 and 2024, from over 20,300 to 9,400 hectares, as recorded coca cultivation reached 260,000 hectares in 2024, the highest level on record.The City Paper Bogotá
Colombia's annual inflation accelerated to 6.24% in August, up from 5.10% a year earlier, DANE reported. Restaurants and hotels led the increase at 9.36% annually, followed by healthcare services at 8.30%, with Medellín posting the highest regional rate at 7.07%. The monthly reading of 0.39% exceeded analyst forecasts of 0.27%, moving further from the central bank's target ahead of Banco de la República's next rate decision on September 30.El Tiempo · Bloomberg Línea
Indepaz recorded 89 massacres in Colombia through September 7, already surpassing all of 2025's 78 cases with four months of the year still remaining. Indepaz director Leonardo González attributes the violence to territorial disputes among criminal structures, particularly in Valle del Cauca, and says the government's early-warning system has become a record of attacks predicted rather than prevented, a characterization his own organization holds and the government has not disputed in the reporting reviewed. Separately, Colombia's Ombudsman's Office confirmed on September 15 that a 16-year-old died from an anti-personnel mine and a 17-year-old was killed following an alleged ELN abduction in Tibú, Norte de Santander, alongside a drone-borne explosive attack that wounded two civilians in the same municipality.Semana · Cambio
Bogotá logged 19 new missing-minor reports in a single week in mid-September, with 12 later found alive and seven still missing. City council figures show 538 minors reported missing in Bogotá in the first half of 2026 alone, including 334 girls aged 10 to 17, alongside a 128% year-on-year rise in trafficking cases tied to the same age group. Mayor Carlos Fernando Galán said "no case can be taken lightly or discarded," and city councillors have asked the District Security Secretariat to analyze the disappearances as a pattern rather than as isolated incidents.The City Paper Bogotá · Semana
President De la Espriella makes his first official visit to Cartagena today, September 18, under security measures set out in District Decree 0414. Authorities banned drones within two kilometers of the Palacio de la Proclamación, barred heavy vehicles and alcohol sales near the venue, and closed eight streets in the walled historic district from 6 a.m. to noon. Mayor Dumek Turbay and Governor Yamil Arana are set to join the president for a parliamentary and territorial meeting, with city hospitals placed on "yellow alert" for the visit's duration.El Tiempo
Social Media Monitor

Accounts worth checking directly, chosen for institutional standing or ground-level access rather than follower count. Each handle below was verified against the institution's own website. Corridor Intelligence does not treat any single post as confirmed fact; each is a lead to check against the Media Monitor above.

What's circulating — September 18, 2026

Accounts tracking Colombia's conflict, including those aligned with Indepaz, are circulating the finding that 2026's massacre count has already passed all of 2025's total before the year is even over. They are using the figure to argue that the post-Paz-Total military approach has not yet reduced violence, a position Indepaz's own director has stated but that government channels have not directly addressed in what we found.
Posts citing the Defensoría del Pueblo's alert on Tibú are framing the deaths of two adolescents, one from an anti-personnel mine and one from an alleged ELN abduction, as early evidence that closing the ELN negotiating table removed a channel for protecting civilians. This is the Ombudsman's own characterization of the incident, not a Police or Presidency assessment, and it should be checked against official security accounts before being treated as the full picture.
Security-focused accounts referencing InSight Crime's analysis are questioning whether De la Espriella's militarized strategy can be sustained, pointing to reporting that only 13 of 53 Black Hawk helicopters are currently operational. This circulates as an outside operational critique of the government's stated approach, not an admission from the Presidency, and its accuracy rests on InSight Crime's sourcing rather than official confirmation.
Accounts following DANE's releases are positioning the 6.24% August inflation print, the highest reading in over a year, as an early test of economic credibility for the new administration. This framing skips over the fact that the underlying price pressures built up mostly under the outgoing government, and DANE itself has not characterized the figure as a verdict on either administration's policies.

This Colombia watch is compiled from primary official statements, institutional research and direct outlet monitoring, cross-checked across English, Spanish and French, international and national sources. The Brief is corrected and improved in place as the picture changes. The Media Monitor and Social Media Monitor panels above are rebuilt each morning from the outlets and accounts listed, not archived as separate daily posts — this page is always the current state, not a dated snapshot.

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